NFP Data Weak! The Door to Easing Interest Rates By The Fed More Open?

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Traders expected on Friday that the Federal Reserve would begin easing policy in September with a major interest rate cut of half a percentage point, after government data showed employers added far fewer jobs than expected last month, and the unemployment rate rose.


Interest rate futures markets now reflect about a 70% chance of a half-percentage-point rate cut next month, compared with what was seen before the report as a more common 70% chance of a quarter-point cut.


US stock index futures saw losses mount after a July jobs report on Friday showed the lowest number of jobs created since December 2020.


Treasury yields fell sharply, as the data offered more of a narrative to trade on US "growth worries" that hammered stock markets on Thursday.


Around 114,000 new jobs were created in July, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. Economists had expected 185,000 new jobs, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1%, based on a survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal.

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